Our 2026 view of the US equipment financing market: total volume, segment breakdown, rate trends, credit-tier mix, and partner-lender activity. Data sourced from ELFA Industry Future Council reports, our partner-lender quote samples, and public-company disclosures.
Market size
The US equipment finance market is estimated at $1.2 trillion in originations for 2026 (ELFA forecast). Equipment loans, leases, and lines of credit combined. Breakdown by segment (approximate):
| Transportation (trucks, trailers) | ~26% |
|---|---|
| Construction | ~16% |
| Manufacturing | ~14% |
| Agriculture | ~10% |
| Medical and life sciences | ~8% |
| IT and office | ~7% |
| Aircraft and marine | ~5% |
| All other | ~14% |
Rate environment 2026
Average equipment finance APR by credit tier, blended across our partner lenders as of May 2026:
- Excellent (720+): 6.9-9.9%
- Good (680-719): 9.9-13.9%
- Fair (640-679): 13.9-17.9%
- Challenged (below 640): 17.9-24.9%
Rates have risen ~2 points across all tiers from 2022 lows. The pace of increases has slowed in 2026 as the Fed funds rate stabilizes.
Credit-tier mix
Approximate share of equipment finance volume by credit tier (from our partner-network data):
- Excellent: ~38%
- Good: ~32%
- Fair: ~18%
- Challenged: ~12%
Challenged-credit share has grown from ~8% in 2020 as more sub-prime specialty lenders entered the market. This is a meaningful shift; pre-2020, sub-prime equipment financing was much more limited.
Structure mix
Equipment loans dominate (~60% of volume) followed by $1-buyout leases (~25%), FMV leases (~12%), and other structures including EFAs and SBA-guaranteed (~3%).
The shift toward loans and $1-buyout leases since 2018 partly reflects bonus depreciation rules: when bonus depreciation was 100%, the tax benefit of ownership outweighed the lower-payment advantage of FMV leases. As bonus depreciation phases down (60% in 2026, 0% by 2027), FMV lease share may rebound.
Section 179 utilization
An estimated 65% of small-business equipment buyers claimed Section 179 in 2024 (latest year with full IRS data). Average §179 claim per small business was $190,000. See our §179 utilization research for the full breakdown.
Methodology
This research aggregates: ELFA Industry Future Council reports, public-company quarterly disclosures (CIT Group, Wells Fargo Equipment Finance, BMO Harris), our partner-network quote samples (last 12 months, anonymized), and IRS Statistics of Income data for Section 179 claims. Sample sizes and limitations documented in our methodology page.
Last reviewed: May 27, 2026.
